Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.176359 0.204868 0.236568 0.274443 0.318487 0.368118 0.428333
2025-03-09 0.134028 0.172500 0.219874 0.282565 0.363474 0.464557 0.600741
2025-03-16 0.109253 0.150809 0.205676 0.283554 0.391526 0.536356 0.746135
2025-03-23 0.093914 0.137240 0.197790 0.288798 0.422589 0.612819 0.905257
2025-03-30 0.079639 0.122229 0.184733 0.283436 0.436073 0.664315 1.033771
2025-04-06 0.069229 0.111007 0.175057 0.280771 0.451836 0.719460 1.173229
2025-04-13 0.061609 0.102815 0.168555 0.281536 0.472110 0.782862 1.332672
2025-04-20 0.057586 0.099746 0.169557 0.294148 0.512624 0.882949 1.564838
2025-04-27 0.053663 0.096235 0.169217 0.304144 0.549490 0.980729 1.805059
2025-05-04 0.049986 0.092617 0.168123 0.312435 0.583986 1.077913 2.056067
2025-05-11 0.045916 0.087734 0.164115 0.314750 0.607514 1.157548 2.283906
2025-05-18 0.041680 0.081993 0.157803 0.311823 0.620495 1.218516 2.482759
2025-05-25 0.037076 0.075074 0.148627 0.302544 0.620565 1.255843 2.642141
2025-06-01 0.034996 0.072926 0.148487 0.311326 0.658158 1.372436 2.981256
2025-06-08 0.032350 0.069277 0.144877 0.312422 0.679758 1.458567 3.266541
2025-06-15 0.030432 0.066911 0.143594 0.318208 0.711929 1.570533 3.623077
2025-06-22 0.027694 0.062436 0.137320 0.312291 0.717482 1.625121 3.856393
2025-06-29 0.025493 0.058887 0.132644 0.309350 0.729319 1.694946 4.134328
2025-07-06 0.023797 0.056288 0.129776 0.310195 0.749995 1.787364 4.478770
2025-07-13 0.023157 0.056080 0.132323 0.324112 0.803568 1.963575 5.054183
2025-07-20 0.022351 0.055375 0.133620 0.335141 0.851404 2.131653 5.631812
2025-07-27 0.021474 0.054393 0.134140 0.344291 0.895631 2.296090 6.222433
2025-08-03 0.020280 0.052477 0.132162 0.346846 0.923171 2.421447 6.725469